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Financial resultsFinancial results

The first quarter of 2008 saw turbulence in the capital markets, falling equity prices, a considerable widening of credit spreads and lower economic growth generally. The international liquidity markets were under strain at times, and this caused higher funding costs. Because of its AA rating, however, the Group had unrestricted access to liquidity, albeit at wider credit spreads. The Danish mortgage finance market was generally well-functioning.

Trends in the financial markets led to a loss at Danica Pension and losses on the securities holdings of Danske Markets, but the Group’s banking activities saw growth in business volume and stable earnings, and the customer-driven trading activities of Danske Markets recorded a very positive trend.

Liquidity is strong and improved relative to the position at the end of 2007 through the issuance of covered bonds as a supplement to the Group’s other types of funding.

The Group has a solid capital base with a core (tier 1) capital ratio of 9.5% and a solvency ratio of 13.6%, which considerably exceeds the minimum statutory capital requirements.

 

Income
Income fell to DKr10,279m, down 6% from the figure in the first quarter of 2007. The consolidation of the Sampo Bank group for one month more than in the first quarter of 2007 added 4 percentage points to the income.

Most of the Group’s income base consists of its retail banking activities, which generate robust earnings. Income from the Group’s non-Danish banking activities grew 19%, and these units now account for 37% of total earnings from banking activities. The non-Danish operations of Danske Markets and Danske Capital also generated significant income, augmenting the Group’s international diversification.

Net interest income saw a positive trend in the first quarter of 2008, owing to good growth in deposits and lending and to higher interest rates, which more than compensated for the pressure on margins. The turbulence in the financial markets led to rising funding costs throughout the period, and the Group therefore raised the lending rates of its Danish units and several other units.

During the quarter, net fee income from investment activities was affected by the significant slowdown in the securities markets in particular in Denmark and Northern Ireland. Overall, net fee income was unchanged.

The significant volatility in the capital markets led to high customer activity, particularly businesses’ hedging of interest rate and foreign exchange risks, which led to a rise in income from trading activities of DKr621m. The considerable widening of spreads and the fall in equity prices led to a decline in the value of securities holdings, however. Overall, net trading income declined 26% relative to the first quarter of 2007.

Other income climbed DKr164m to DKr1,037m, due mainly to proceeds from the sale of real property.
 Profit before credit loss expenses
(DKr m)
1. kvartal
2008
1. kvartal
2007
Indeks
08/07
1. kvartal
2008
4. kvartal
2007
3. kvartal
2007
2. kvartal
2007
1. kvartal
2007
Året
2007
Danish banking activities2,5122,718922,5122,7492,8212,4862,71810,774
Non-Danish banking activities1,5231,2691201,5231,6641,7261,4371,2696,096
Total banking activities4,0353,9871014,0354,4134,5473,9233,98716,870
Danske Markets171926181713577598839262,925
Danske Capital242259932422832592882591,089
Danica Pension-565311-182-5651802693583111,118
Other Areas501441,139501-422511044137
Total integration expenses4284111044285415836114112,146
Profit before credit loss expenses3,9565,116773,9564,6505,2764,9515,11619,993
 INCOME STATEMENT
(DKr m)
Q1
2008
Q1
2007
Index
08/07
Q1
2008
Q4
2007
Q3
2007
Q2
2007
Q1
2007
Full year
2007
Net interest income6,2365,7301096,2366,3206,2676,0745,73024,391
Financing376392963764454174093921,663
Investment320517623203913954255171,728
Services37331123740122533110
Fees generated by activities733942787338768248599423,501
Financing168141119168166155169141631
Investment6505491186506596406325492,480
Services6626031106626296466766032,554
Fees generated by portfolios1,4801,2931141,4801,4541,4411,4771,2935,665
Net fee income2,2132,235992,2132,3302,2652,3362,2359,166
Net trading income1,3581,834741,3581,5221,8552,1671,8347,378
Other income1,0378731191,0378725866798733,010
Net income from insurance business-565311--5651802693583111,118
Total income10,27910,9839410,27911,22411,24211,61410,98345,063
Staff expenses3,0572,7711103,0572,9662,9183,0622,77111,717
Severance pay 24922624146125992426
Holiday payment*1727631739-114742726
Bonuses312322973123042983413221,265
IT expenses8506481318507757057006482,828
Other expenses1,1881,1901001,1881,5001,2311,3061,1905,227
Staff and administration expenses, Sampo0--0-----
Staff and administration expenses5,4485,0501085,4485,5985,0995,7425,05021,489
Depreciation, intangibles314364863144194284293641,640
Depreciation, tangibles5404481215405374234864481,894
Other operating expenses215-2120166547
Operating expenses6,3235,8671086,3236,5745,9666,6635,86725,070
Hereof integration expenses 2191391582192852613261391,011
Profit before credit loss expenses3,9565,116773,9564,6505,2764,9515,11619,993
Credit loss expenses542-178-542427255183-178687
Profit before tax3,4145,294643,4144,2235,0214,7685,29419,306
Tax8471,472588476591,3449611,4724,436
Net profit for the period2,5673,822672,5673,5643,6773,8073,82214,870

In the first quarter of 2008, the Group’s insurance business generated a loss of DKr565m, against a profit of DKr311m in the same period in 2007. The trend was attributable to capital losses on equities, and the Group therefore had to postpone the booking of its risk allowance. The Group can book the risk allowance at a later date – with no time restrictions – if the trend in the financial markets permits.

Operating expenses
Operating expenses rose 8% to DKr6,323m, which is slightly lower than expected. Four percentage points of the increase derived from the full-quarter consolidation of Sampo Bank. The rest of the increase was owing to general wage and price trends as well as the expansion of activities. The cost/income ratio was 61.5%. Excluding total integration expenses, the cost/income ratio was 57.3%.


Credit loss expenses
Credit loss expenses amounted to DKr542m, against a net positive entry of DKr178m in the first quarter of 2007. The figure includes collective impairment charges of around DKr350m for customer segments which the Group expects to be affected by the economic slowdown, but for which the Group has not yet found evidence of individual impairment.

At the end of March 2008, credit quality was still good. The Group’s exposure to international investment companies in the form of backup liquidity facilities was reduced further through the period.

Outlook
Because of the continued turbulence in the finan-cial markets and lower real economic growth, the Group expects net fee income and net income from insurance business for 2008 to be lower than expected at the presentation of the Annual Report 2007. In addition, the Group expects credit loss expenses to approach the average for a business cycle.

Overall, the Group expects a decline in net profit of 6-13% relative to 2007, against the previously estimated increase of 0-7%. The outlook for 2008 is subject to greater uncertainty than usual, owing to uncertainty about the duration and extent of the financial turbulence.